Iraq and American Withdrawal

5 years ago when the Americans invaded Iraq, I said that the invasion will be quick and victorious, but the aftermath will be a quagmire for the American troops. It happened exactly as I had predicted. Now Americans are happy that the violence rate has dropped in Iraq last year and that soon they will be able to hand over the reins to the Iraqi government. Here is my forecast, the moment the Americans leave for good, it won't be better than Vietnam. The whole country will fall into chaos. With a Kurdish population who wants independence, a Sunni group who are not happy with the system now, and the shi-ites who are in the power now, it is impossible to imagine any other outcome.