Sunday, January 4, 2009

Somalia same story again

When two years ago Ethiopian troops invaded Somalia to overthrow the Islamic government, I predicted this is not the end of the story. Yes, the Islamic government vanished, it just left Mogadishu overnight and left it open for the Ethiopian troops, but it did not mean they disappeared. They just bided their time and started the smart option of a prolonged guerilla war. It bugged down the Ethiopian troops and exhausted them and now they are retreating. Nothing has changed, if anything, it is worse for US now because the Islamists have now become more experienced and vicious.

So again, and again, and again, and again, and again, US makes the same mistake. The right way to deal with the situations was when the Islamic militias took over Mogadishu a few years ago, to come to terms with them. To accept that in the situation in Somalia, they are the only group who can bring stability and rule of law back to the country after decades of lawlessness and warlordism. But no, US could not have any of it. It blamed them to harbor Alghaede and just being Islamic was enough for the evangelical government of George Bush to write them down. Us should have got into negotiations with the group. They should know that the natural ally of the religious governments anywhere in the world is US, not the left wing groups. They should start having normal relations with the government and that is the best way to have any impact on those governments. And this is good for people also as these governments are the only ones who can bring stability to a war torn country after decades of chaos. In due time, after a period of stability, people themselves will get rid of the government if it does not change its colors and does not mellow down.

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